TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111499
Played Sep 10Finished
Patrik Marsalek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711611––––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Marsalek 2–2 Ivan Heuman Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Marsalek beat Heuman 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarsalek 1.80 / Heuman 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heuman)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13111499
Marsalek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 9 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Heuman1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 63 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back34% 20 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMarsalek2wins
AwayHeuman2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarsalek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHeumann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marsalek3Heuman1n = 4Marsalek took 3 of 4
S2Marsalek1Heuman3n = 4Heuman took 3 of 4
S3Marsalek1Heuman3n = 4Heuman took 3 of 4
S4Marsalek2Heuman2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMarsalekHeumanM − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.537.0+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarsalekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 109 vs 196 / 40045.9%49%50 / 109 vs 196 / 400Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanMarsalek 1.80/Heuman 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek—11711113I. Heuman—611891
LAug 28 · 20:50P. Marsalek—117851I. Heuman—91111113
WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek—411511113I. Heuman—11211722
LAug 10 · 20:15P. Marsalek—119981I. Heuman—61111113
P. Marsalek10
LSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891LSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462LSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113LAug 28 · 20:50P. Marsalek1.91117851I. Heuman1.8091111113WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722LAug 28 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.7341311113P. Marsalek2.001111831
I. Heuman10
LSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162LSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WAug 28 · 20:50P. Marsalek1.91117851I. Heuman1.8091111113LAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722
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