TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108596
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115113611116
Ivan Heuman
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 18–16 Ivan Heuman Ivan Heuman has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Travnicek
Correct
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1608 vs Heuman 1543
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Heuman 40%
Travnicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Heuman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek -1 · Heuman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.67 / Heuman 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13108596
Travnicek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 39 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Heuman2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 63 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back34% 20 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek7wins
AwayHeuman3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek87.5%7 of 8
AwayHeumann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek8Heuman2n = 10Travnicek took 8 of 10
S2Travnicek4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek5Heuman5n = 10split evenly
S4Travnicek4Heuman3n = 7Travnicek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekHeumanT − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.3+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 407 vs 196 / 39949.4%49.1%201 / 407 vs 196 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.67/Heuman 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek—1111133I. Heuman—99110
WSep 4 · 17:45J. Travnicek—11611113I. Heuman—811961
LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek—61070I. Heuman—1112113
WSep 2 · 20:15J. Travnicek—11711123I. Heuman—3119101
WAug 28 · 19:15J. Travnicek—11128113I. Heuman—5101171
LAug 25 · 19:10J. Travnicek—115881I. Heuman—71111113
WAug 24 · 18:10J. Travnicek—1210912113I. Heuman—1012111082
WAug 21 · 21:10J. Travnicek—1112113I. Heuman—71080
LAug 21 · 17:40J. Travnicek—1771181I. Heuman—19118113
WAug 17 · 21:05J. Travnicek—1114910113I. Heuman—612111242
J. Travnicek10
LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132
I. Heuman10
LSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891WSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113
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