TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108356
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116311116116––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:12 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 65 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Adam Kanak at 61.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 1–2 Adam Kanak Ivan Heuman has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1542 vs Kanak 1627
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 40% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 40% vs Kanak 70%
Kanak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -2 · Kanak +3
Kanak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.83 / Kanak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108356
Heuman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kanak1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHeuman1wins
AwayKanak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKanak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman33.3%1 of 3
AwayKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman3Kanak0n = 3Heuman took 3 of 3
S2Heuman1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S3Heuman1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHeumanKanakH − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.038.7+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 397 vs 57 / 9549.1%60%195 / 397 vs 57 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakHeuman 1.83/Kanak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 29 · 17:45I. Heuman—1311113A. Kanak—11690
LAug 24 · 20:43I. Heuman—1191071A. Kanak—51112113
LAug 24 · 20:10I. Heuman—11881172A. Kanak—911119113
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
A. Kanak10
WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361WSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140
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