TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108594
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411118811811––
Adam Kanak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:15 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 60.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 3–0 Adam Kanak Adam Kanak has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:15What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Travnicek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1620 vs Kanak 1613
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 60% vs Kanak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 60% vs Kanak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +1 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.73 / Kanak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13108594
Travnicek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite44% won 39 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Kanak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog65% won 24 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back41% 7 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTravnicek3wins
AwayKanak0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTravnicek leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek100%3 of 3
AwayKanakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek3Kanak0n = 3Travnicek took 3 of 3
S2Travnicek0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S3Travnicek2Kanak1n = 3Travnicek took 2 of 3
S4Travnicek3Kanak0n = 3Travnicek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTravnicekKanakT − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match45.041.3+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 406 vs 57 / 9649.5%59.4%201 / 406 vs 57 / 96Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.73/Kanak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek—117611113A. Kanak—91111972
WSep 1 · 18:15J. Travnicek—14811153A. Kanak—12116131
WAug 24 · 19:10J. Travnicek—11712113A. Kanak—5111091
J. Travnicek10
WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110
A. Kanak10
LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361WSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140
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