TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098037
Played Sep 8Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111311117114––
Karel Baros
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Karel Baros below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Adam Kanak at 65.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 2–0 Karel Baros Karel Baros has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1601 vs Baros 1541
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Baros 60%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Baros 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Baros +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.50 / Baros 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13098037
Kanak1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Baros2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 21 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKanak2wins
AwayBaros0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKanak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKanakBarosK − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.535.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 93 vs 144 / 26259.1%55%55 / 93 vs 144 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.50/Baros 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak—771111113K. Baros—11118892
WAug 10 · 15:10A. Kanak—1211113K. Baros—10580
A. Kanak10
WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361WSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381
K. Baros10
WSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113LSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113
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