TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097916
Played Sep 8Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111151012511––
Karel Baros
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Osvald to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Karel Baros below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held David Osvald at 62.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 3–0 Karel Baros Karel Baros has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:19What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Osvald
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1504 vs Baros 1520
Baros
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Baros 60%
Baros
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Baros 60%
Baros
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +2 · Baros -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.57 / Baros 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Osvald)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13097916
Osvald1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 31 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Baros2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 21 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeOsvald3wins
AwayBaros0wins
Osvald leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald100%3 of 3
AwayBarosn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald3Baros0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
S2Osvald2Baros1n = 3Osvald took 2 of 3
S3Osvald3Baros0n = 3Osvald took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricOsvaldBarosO − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.023.0+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 168 vs 143 / 26152.4%54.8%88 / 168 vs 143 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.57/Baros 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 28 · 14:45D. Osvald—1111113K. Baros—7670
WJun 25 · 15:40D. Osvald—1111113K. Baros—8920
WJun 16 · 14:15D. Osvald—11911113K. Baros—811741
D. Osvald10
WSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113
K. Baros10
LSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741LSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113
Upcoming Matches
D. Osvald
K. Baros
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