TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091337
Played Sep 7Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711211711––
Filip Theodor
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Osvald to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held David Osvald at 58.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 2–0 Filip Theodor Filip Theodor has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1496 vs Theodor 1473
Osvald
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Theodor 80%
Theodor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Theodor 80%
Theodor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -3 · Theodor +1
Osvald
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.57 / Theodor 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Osvald)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091337
Osvald1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 31 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Theodor2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 20 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOsvald2wins
AwayTheodor0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOsvald leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOsvaldTheodorO − TBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.531.5+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 164 vs 78 / 16952.4%46.2%86 / 164 vs 78 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.57/Theodor 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 25 · 17:03D. Osvald—711113113F. Theodor—11991172
WJun 25 · 15:10D. Osvald—1111123F. Theodor—24100
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371LJul 22 · 16:59D. Osvald1.6186110T. Lysek2.201111133
F. Theodor10
WSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Osvald
Nothing scheduled
F. Theodor
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.