TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12406613
Played Aug 12Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115114––––
Jan Przybyla
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 55.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 3–5 Jan Przybyla David Osvald has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Przybyla
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1531 vs Przybyla 1529
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 60% vs Przybyla 40%
Osvald
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Przybyla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Przybyla -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.83 / Przybyla 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przybyla)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12406613
Osvald1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Przybyla1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOsvald3wins
AwayPrzybyla5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvald60%3 of 5
AwayPrzybyla100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald5Przybyla3n = 8Osvald took 5 of 8
S2Osvald1Przybyla7n = 8Przybyla took 7 of 8
S3Osvald4Przybyla4n = 8split evenly
S4Osvald2Przybyla4n = 6Przybyla took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricOsvaldPrzybylaO − PBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match35.639.4−3.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 160 vs 200 / 37653.1%53.2%85 / 160 vs 200 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaOsvald 1.83/Przybyla 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 24 · 10:45D. Osvald—11811113J. Przybyla—511871
LApr 13 · 08:15D. Osvald—8290J. Przybyla—1111113
WMar 24 · 09:40D. Osvald—111111113J. Przybyla—913571
LMar 24 · 08:10D. Osvald—7101171J. Przybyla—11125113
LFeb 24 · 08:15D. Osvald—112751J. Przybyla—71111113
LFeb 10 · 10:40D. Osvald—14115772J. Przybyla—1291111113
WDec 31 · 10:10D. Osvald—1281112113J. Przybyla—101171472
LDec 31 · 09:10D. Osvald—11750J. Przybyla—1311113
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371LJul 22 · 16:59D. Osvald1.6186110T. Lysek2.201111133
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980
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