TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12314620
Played Jul 28Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151181210––––
Jakub Volny
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Volny at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:28What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1518 vs Volny 1446
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Volny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Volny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald +1 · Volny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.91 / Volny 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volny)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12314620
Osvald1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog64% won 14 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back43% 3 of 7
Volny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 157 vs 139 / 29352.9%47.4%83 / 157 vs 139 / 293Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyOsvald 1.91/Volny 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osvald won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371LJul 22 · 16:59D. Osvald1.6186110T. Lysek2.201111133
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960
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