TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12408296
Played Aug 12Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181311811115––
David Osvald
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · David Osvald below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 78 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 0–1 David Osvald Daniel Branny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Branny 1518 vs Osvald 1545
Osvald
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 80% vs Osvald 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 80% vs Osvald 50%
Branny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny +4 · Osvald +2
Branny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.83 / Osvald 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Osvald)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12408296
Branny1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Osvald1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBranny0wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOsvald leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrannyOsvaldB − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.051.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 298 vs 86 / 16151.7%53.4%154 / 298 vs 86 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldBranny 1.83/Osvald 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LFeb 5 · 20:40D. Branny—119711112D. Osvald—711119133
D. Branny10
WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761LAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371LJul 22 · 16:59D. Osvald1.6186110T. Lysek2.201111133
Upcoming Matches
D. Branny
D. Osvald
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