TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12282829
Played Jul 22Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8116111113––––
Tomas Lysek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 60 set 3, 11-13
60 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 1–0 Tomas Lysek Tomas Lysek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.61 / Lysek 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osvald)-3.7pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12282829
Osvald1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Lysek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 16 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsvald1wins
AwayLysek0wins
Osvald leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOsvaldLysekO − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.029.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 154 vs 104 / 18853.3%55.3%82 / 154 vs 104 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.61/Lysek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 22 · 15:15D. Osvald—1111133T. Lysek—99110
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113WAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
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