TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091913
Played Sep 7Finished
David Osvald
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511611119711
Karel Zeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Osvald to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held David Osvald at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 0–1 Karel Zeman David Osvald has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:56What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1510 vs Zeman 1403
Osvald
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Zeman 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -2 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 2.00 / Zeman 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osvald)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13091913
Osvald2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 10 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Zeman1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 50 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsvald0wins
AwayZeman1wins
Zeman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricOsvaldZemanO − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.037.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 163 vs 168 / 30252.8%55.6%86 / 163 vs 168 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 2.00/Zeman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LDec 30 · 11:10D. Osvald—88130K. Zeman—1111153
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113LJul 28 · 14:15L. Dzida1.7351111113D. Osvald2.00118371LJul 22 · 16:59D. Osvald1.6186110T. Lysek2.201111133
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.