TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091478
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8114111012––––
Filip Theodor
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Theodor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Filip Theodor at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 6–6 Filip Theodor Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Reska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1504 vs Theodor 1458
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 80% vs Theodor 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 50% vs Theodor 70%
Theodor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Theodor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.57 / Theodor 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Reska)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091478
Reska1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 75 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Theodor2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 20 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska6wins
AwayTheodor4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska71.4%5 of 7
AwayTheodor66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska7Theodor3n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S2Reska4Theodor6n = 10Theodor took 6 of 10
S3Reska5Theodor5n = 10split evenly
S4Reska3Theodor3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaTheodorR − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.233.6+1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 480 vs 77 / 16850.6%45.8%243 / 480 vs 77 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.57/Theodor 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 21:10V. Reska—71190F. Theodor—1113113
WAug 27 · 17:40V. Reska—11911113F. Theodor—811661
WAug 9 · 19:15V. Reska—131111113F. Theodor—154961
WJul 27 · 18:40V. Reska—1111123F. Theodor—98100
WJul 7 · 18:45V. Reska—1115158113F. Theodor—813171172
LJun 25 · 16:10V. Reska—4870F. Theodor—1111113
LJun 18 · 20:40V. Reska—110761F. Theodor—61111113
WJun 18 · 20:15V. Reska—11211113F. Theodor—311451
WApr 21 · 20:10V. Reska—1111113F. Theodor—6560
LMar 25 · 18:45V. Reska—118581F. Theodor—81111113
V. Reska10
WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113
F. Theodor10
WSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113
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