TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091531
Played Sep 7Finished
David Osvald
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012811––––
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Osvald to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Osvald above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 65 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Osvald at 55.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H David Osvald 1–0 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Osvald
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1484 vs Reska 1497
Reska
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 20% vs Reska 60%
Reska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 40% vs Reska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -4 · Reska +1
Osvald
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 1.73 / Reska 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Osvald)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13091531
Osvald1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 31 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Reska2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOsvald1wins
AwayReska0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOsvald leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOsvaldReskaO − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.039.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 165 vs 244 / 48252.1%50.6%86 / 165 vs 244 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldOsvald 1.73/Reska 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 25 · 14:10D. Osvald—911115113V. Reska—11751152
D. Osvald10
WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113
V. Reska10
LSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113LSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780
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