TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093973
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911411––––
David Osvald
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · David Osvald below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11
52 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 1–1 David Osvald Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Reska beat Osvald 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.53 / Osvald 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Reska)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13093973
Reska1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 75 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Osvald2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 10 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeReska1wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricReskaOsvaldR − OBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.538.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 483 vs 86 / 16650.7%51.8%245 / 483 vs 86 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.53/Osvald 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 15:45V. Reska—1312113D. Osvald—111080
LJun 25 · 14:10V. Reska—11751152D. Osvald—911115113
V. Reska10
WSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113WSep 7 · 15:15K. Zeman2.0011316572V. Reska1.737111411113LSep 7 · 14:15V. Reska1.5784100F. Theodor2.251111123WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780
D. Osvald10
LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540WAug 12 · 09:45M. Raska1.83713881D. Osvald1.83111111113LJul 28 · 17:15D. Osvald2.0397111152L. Dzida1.65111175113WJul 28 · 16:15D. Osvald1.911111123J. Volny1.8058100WJul 28 · 14:45K. Baros2.507670D. Osvald1.501111113
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