TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098012
Played Sep 8Finished
Karel Baros
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111012––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Baros to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Baros above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Karel Baros at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Karel Baros 12–11 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Konvicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baros 1536 vs Konvicka 1488
Baros
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 80% vs Konvicka 40%
Baros
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 60% vs Konvicka 30%
Baros
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros +2 · Konvicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 1.83 / Konvicka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Baros)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13098012
Baros1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Konvicka1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros3wins
AwayKonvicka7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKonvicka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarosn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKonvicka87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros2Konvicka8n = 10Konvicka took 8 of 10
S2Baros3Konvicka7n = 10Konvicka took 7 of 10
S3Baros4Konvicka6n = 10Konvicka took 6 of 10
S4Baros3Konvicka1n = 4Baros took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosKonvickaB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.632.5−3.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 260 vs 132 / 25355%52.2%143 / 260 vs 132 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosBaros 1.83/Konvicka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 14:10K. Baros—741151V. Konvicka—11118113
WAug 10 · 16:44K. Baros—1111113V. Konvicka—3760
WAug 10 · 15:40K. Baros—81112113V. Konvicka—1171051
LJul 15 · 14:10K. Baros—5970V. Konvicka—1111113
LJun 23 · 15:45K. Baros—51090V. Konvicka—1112113
LJun 17 · 17:05K. Baros—9630V. Konvicka—1111113
LJun 17 · 14:10K. Baros—88111132V. Konvicka—111137113
WJun 11 · 13:45K. Baros—11117113V. Konvicka—391131
LJun 5 · 16:15K. Baros—7980V. Konvicka—1111113
LJun 3 · 16:45K. Baros—4570V. Konvicka—1111113
K. Baros10
WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113LAug 28 · 16:40K. Baros1.431179101V. Reska2.6071111123LAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
V. Konvicka10
LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990
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