TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098140
Played Sep 8Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119118––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Adam Kanak at 58.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–1 Vojtech Konvicka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1591 vs Konvicka 1503
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Konvicka 60%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Konvicka 40%
Kanak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Konvicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.57 / Konvicka 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kanak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13098140
Kanak1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 29 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 17 of 22
Konvicka2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 41 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKanakKonvickaKanak − KonvickaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.547.50.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 92 vs 133 / 25458.7%52.4%54 / 92 vs 133 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.57/Konvicka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak—611611173V. Konvicka—117118152
LAug 10 · 13:40A. Kanak—11581192V. Konvicka—711113113
A. Kanak10
WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361WSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381
V. Konvicka10
WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990
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