Adam Kanak vs Jakub Travnicek 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13111594

Played Sep 10Finished

Adam Kanak

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11138111181210911

Jakub Travnicek

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Jakub Travnicek below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 104 set 5, 9-11

104 points played in total.

H2H Adam Kanak 1–3 Jakub Travnicek Adam Kanak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 1–3Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Kanak beat Travnicek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKanak 1.83 / Travnicek 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kanak)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13111594

Kanak1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Travnicek1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomeKanak1wins

AwayTravnicek3wins

1 of 4 to a deciderTravnicek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKanakn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayTravnicek100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kanak1Travnicek3n = 4Travnicek took 3 of 4

S2Kanak3Travnicek1n = 4Kanak took 3 of 4

S3Kanak2Travnicek2n = 4split evenly

S4Kanak1Travnicek3n = 4Travnicek took 3 of 4

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away250%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricKanakTravnicekK − TBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.241.5−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKanakTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 98 vs 202 / 40860.2%49.5%59 / 98 vs 202 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kanak

Kanak 1.83/Travnicek 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Kanak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Travnicek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WSep 10 · 18:45A. Kanak—11811113J. Travnicek—411881

LSep 1 · 21:15A. Kanak—91111972J. Travnicek—117611113

LSep 1 · 18:15A. Kanak—12116131J. Travnicek—14811153

LAug 24 · 19:10A. Kanak—5111091J. Travnicek—11712113

A. Kanak10

WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792 WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113 LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661 WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052 WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741 WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980 LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123 WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131 WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860 WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361

J. Travnicek10

WSep 10 · 19:45J. Travnicek1.67911116113I. Heuman2.1011531162 LSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113 WSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121 LSep 7 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.8324130D. Skulina1.831111153 WSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651 WSep 7 · 18:45D. Skulina1.735970J. Travnicek2.001111113 LSep 7 · 18:15J. Krupnik1.73915115113J. Travnicek2.00111391162 LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991 WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462 WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113

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