TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13118423
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118116––––
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Adam Kanak at 58.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 5–5 Lukas Kantor Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 02:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1643 vs Kantor 1484
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Kantor 40%
Kanak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Kantor 40%
Kanak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +2 · Kantor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.61 / Kantor 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kanak)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13118423
Kanak1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Kantor2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 64 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanak5wins
AwayKantor5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak80%4 of 5
AwayKantor80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanak3Kantor7n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S3Kanak6Kantor4n = 10Kanak took 6 of 10
S4Kanak4Kantor4n = 8split evenly
S5Kanak4Kantor3n = 7Kanak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKanakKantorKanak − KantorBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.5+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 101 vs 174 / 34960.4%49.9%61 / 101 vs 174 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.61/Kantor 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 15:45A. Kanak—1381111112L. Kantor—151181133
WAug 31 · 08:15A. Kanak—1111113L. Kantor—7910
LAug 28 · 11:40A. Kanak—713981L. Kantor—111111113
LAug 21 · 09:20A. Kanak—11441182L. Kantor—311111113
LAug 21 · 06:10A. Kanak—131030L. Kantor—1512113
WAug 10 · 17:15A. Kanak—10101111153L. Kantor—121254132
WAug 10 · 16:10A. Kanak—129115113L. Kantor—101191162
WJul 23 · 10:10A. Kanak—114115113L. Kantor—21171152
LJul 15 · 09:25A. Kanak—81111762L. Kantor—116811113
WJul 15 · 06:45A. Kanak—119911123L. Kantor—711116102
A. Kanak10
WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123
L. Kantor10
WSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101
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