TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13118811
Played Sep 12Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101113117911911
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:53 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 57.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 2–2 Lukas Kantor Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:53What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kantor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1462 vs Kantor 1486
Kantor
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 40% vs Kantor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 40% vs Kantor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka -2 · Kantor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.91 / Kantor 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kantor)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13118811
Konvicka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 42 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Kantor1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 31 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKonvicka2wins
AwayKantor2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S2Konvicka1Kantor3n = 4Kantor took 3 of 4
S3Konvicka2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S4Konvicka2Kantor1n = 3Konvicka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKonvickaKantorKonvicka − KantorBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.544.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 259 vs 175 / 35151.7%49.9%134 / 259 vs 175 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorKonvicka 1.91/Kantor 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka—121111992L. Kantor—1013711113
LAug 10 · 14:40V. Konvicka—67150L. Kantor—1111173
WAug 8 · 11:10V. Konvicka—71113113L. Kantor—1171191
WDec 17 · 14:40V. Konvicka—1181111113L. Kantor—91113972
V. Konvicka10
WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113
L. Kantor10
LSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101
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