TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13118424
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511411––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Lysek at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 3–2 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:33What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Konvicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1527 vs Konvicka 1462
Lysek
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 40% vs Konvicka 20%
Lysek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 40% vs Konvicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek -2 · Konvicka -3
Konvicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lysek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.83 / Konvicka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13118424
Lysek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Konvicka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLysek3wins
AwayKonvicka2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderLysek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKonvickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysek3Konvicka2n = 5Lysek took 3 of 5
S2Lysek4Konvicka1n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
S3Lysek4Konvicka1n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
S4Lysek2Konvicka1n = 3Lysek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricLysekKonvickaL − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.633.2+3.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 231 vs 134 / 25953.3%51.7%123 / 231 vs 134 / 259Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekLysek 1.83/Konvicka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 22 · 14:15T. Lysek—67111172V. Konvicka—111166113
WJun 28 · 07:45T. Lysek—1111113V. Konvicka—6290
LMay 8 · 09:40T. Lysek—11114712V. Konvicka—861111113
WFeb 15 · 16:10T. Lysek—10111193V. Konvicka—129961
WDec 14 · 07:40T. Lysek—1111113V. Konvicka—7950
T. Lysek10
LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101
V. Konvicka10
LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113
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