TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098000
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10128111151171210
David Osvald
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · David Osvald below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 3–1 David Osvald David Osvald has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:42What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Konvicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Konvicka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1493 vs Osvald 1484
Konvicka
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 40% vs Osvald 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 30% vs Osvald 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka -1 · Osvald -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Konvicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.67 / Osvald 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Konvicka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13098000
Konvicka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 44 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Osvald2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 11 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKonvicka3wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKonvicka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka2Osvald2n = 4split evenly
S2Konvicka2Osvald2n = 4split evenly
S3Konvicka2Osvald2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKonvickaOsvaldK − OBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.033.5+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 255 vs 88 / 16952.2%52.1%133 / 255 vs 88 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.67/Osvald 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 22 · 16:15V. Konvicka—10131111113D. Osvald—121113792
LApr 20 · 14:45V. Konvicka—8950D. Osvald—1111113
WApr 2 · 08:55V. Konvicka—1111113D. Osvald—5690
WApr 2 · 07:10V. Konvicka—11411113D. Osvald—711471
V. Konvicka10
LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
D. Osvald10
WSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113WSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 16:49V. Reska1.536940D. Osvald2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:45D. Osvald1.73111080V. Reska2.001312113LSep 7 · 14:45D. Osvald1.57117271F. Theodor2.2591111113LSep 7 · 13:45D. Osvald2.0011561172K. Zeman1.73811119113LAug 12 · 13:20D. Branny1.8011811123D. Osvald1.914117101LAug 12 · 12:15D. Branny1.8311138113D. Osvald1.838111151WAug 12 · 11:15D. Osvald1.831111113J. Przybyla1.839540
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