TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116781
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115711115––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Adam Kanak at 57.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 3–1 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kanak
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1621 vs Konvicka 1487
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Konvicka 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Konvicka 40%
Kanak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Konvicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.50 / Konvicka 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kanak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13116781
Kanak1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Konvicka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 42 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKanak3wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderKanak leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanak66.7%2 of 3
AwayKonvickan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak3Konvicka1n = 4Kanak took 3 of 4
S2Kanak2Konvicka2n = 4split evenly
S3Kanak1Konvicka3n = 4Konvicka took 3 of 4
S4Kanak3Konvicka0n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S5Kanak2Konvicka1n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKanakKonvickaKanak − KonvickaBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match45.238.8+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 99 vs 134 / 25759.6%52.1%59 / 99 vs 134 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.50/Konvicka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak—1110912113V. Konvicka—312111052
WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak—1111113V. Konvicka—2980
WAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak—611611173V. Konvicka—117118152
LAug 10 · 13:40A. Kanak—11581192V. Konvicka—711113113
A. Kanak10
WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123
V. Konvicka10
WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113
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