TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117688
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Pribyl
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118511511115911
Adam Kanak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Pribyl above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 87 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
The pickContradict
Sealed 23:43What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pribyl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pribyl 1713 vs Kanak 1625
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pribyl 40% vs Kanak 60%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pribyl 50% vs Kanak 70%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pribyl +1 · Kanak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPribyl 1.73 / Kanak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Pribyl)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13117688
Pribyl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Kanak2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog64% won 25 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back39% 7 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPribylKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 204 vs 62 / 10354.9%60.2%112 / 204 vs 62 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPribyl 1.73/Kanak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pribyl10
WSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151LSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143WSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101WSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133LSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460
A. Kanak10
LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780LSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052
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