TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120115
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411511––––
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 48 set 3, 5-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–0 Jan Pribyl Jan Pribyl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kanak beat Pribyl 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.80 / Pribyl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13120115
Kanak1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Pribyl1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak1wins
AwayPribyl0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKanak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakPribylK − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.041.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 106 vs 113 / 20759.4%54.6%63 / 106 vs 113 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.80/Pribyl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 10:10A. Kanak46811115113J. Pribyl4111551192
A. Kanak10
LSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113LSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113
J. Pribyl10
WSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113LSep 12 · 11:10D. Jr2.00711115113J. Pribyl1.7311981162LSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113WSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151LSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143WSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101WSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133
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