TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117709
Played Sep 12Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119118511116
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 55.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 4–2 Jan Pribyl Jan Pribyl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pribyl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Jr
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1550 vs Pribyl 1676
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Pribyl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Pribyl 50%
Pribyl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Pribyl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pribyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Pribyl 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pribyl)+2.2pp
TT Cup · #13117709
Jr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 121 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back29% 34 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Pribyl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 39 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayPribyl2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderJr leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%2 of 3
AwayPribyl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Pribyl3n = 6split evenly
S2Jr3Pribyl3n = 6split evenly
S3Jr3Pribyl3n = 6split evenly
S4Jr2Pribyl2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricJrPribylJ − PBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.339.2−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 520 vs 112 / 20549.8%54.6%259 / 520 vs 112 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylJr 2.00/Pribyl 1.73
Miss
What we said
55.9%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 3 · 12:10D. Jr—81111113J. Pribyl—119831
WJul 30 · 15:15D. Jr—119119113J. Pribyl—91171192
LJul 28 · 07:40D. Jr—5480J. Pribyl—1111113
LJul 18 · 12:50D. Jr—119861J. Pribyl—91111113
WJul 18 · 10:45D. Jr—1411113J. Pribyl—12990
WApr 28 · 15:10D. Jr—1011611133J. Pribyl—129119112
D. Jr10
LSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak1.531111113D. Jr2.389760WSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123
J. Pribyl10
WSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113LSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113WSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151LSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143WSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101WSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133LSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
J. Pribyl
Nothing scheduled
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