TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13137455
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191311––––
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 64 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 1–0 Lukas Dzida Lukas Dzida has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1553 vs Dzida 1555
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 80% vs Dzida 60%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 70% vs Dzida 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +4 · Dzida +1
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.83 / Dzida 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13137455
Moravec1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dzida1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoravec1wins
AwayDzida0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMoravec leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoravecDzidaM − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.044.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 375 vs 110 / 20349.9%54.2%187 / 375 vs 110 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaMoravec 1.83/Dzida 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 14:15M. Moravec47911115113L. Dzida4411861182
M. Moravec10
WSep 16 · 13:10M. Moravec1.731112123D. Pawlik2.00710100WSep 16 · 10:40D. Pawlik1.8314960M. Moravec1.831611113WSep 16 · 10:10T. Kindl1.57791191M. Moravec2.2511117113WSep 13 · 20:45M. Moravec1.831110145113R. Sedlacek1.83612121162WSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113
L. Dzida10
WSep 16 · 12:40L. Dzida1.83581111123T. Kindl1.83111189102WSep 16 · 11:10L. Dzida1.9111611113T. Kindl1.80711831LSep 16 · 09:40D. Pawlik1.6111118113L. Dzida2.20891171WSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113WSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123WSep 14 · 05:45D. Pawlik1.73811971L. Dzida2.0011511113WSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870
Upcoming Matches
M. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
L. Dzida
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