TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120202
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Lysek
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311911117911611
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.82
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Lysek above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Lysek 1–1 Lukas Dzida Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Lysek beat Dzida 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.88 / Dzida 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13120202
Lysek1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Dzida1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 42 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 27 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLysek1wins
AwayDzida1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLysekDzidaL − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.540.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 236 vs 105 / 19653.4%53.6%126 / 236 vs 105 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaLysek 1.88/Dzida 1.82
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 11:45T. Lysek4071111113L. Dzida33115981
LJun 13 · 11:15T. Lysek4711891182L. Dzida48711118113
T. Lysek10
WSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 11:15V. Reska1.8311611872T. Lysek1.83711611113WSep 12 · 10:15T. Lysek1.9116912113J. Volny1.8014111091LSep 12 · 08:39V. Konvicka1.6712111110113T. Lysek2.1014881292LSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112
L. Dzida10
LSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870WSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123LSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190LSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113
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