TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13107441
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311119––––
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 66 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 5–3 Lukas Dzida Lukas Dzida has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kindl
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1596 vs Dzida 1533
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 40% vs Dzida 60%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 70% vs Dzida 50%
Kindl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl -1 · Dzida -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.83 / Dzida 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kindl)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13107441
Kindl1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Dzida1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKindl5wins
AwayDzida3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderKindl leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl75%3 of 4
AwayDzida50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl4Dzida4n = 8split evenly
S2Kindl4Dzida4n = 8split evenly
S3Kindl2Dzida6n = 8Dzida took 6 of 8
S4Kindl5Dzida2n = 7Kindl took 5 of 7
S5Kindl3Dzida1n = 4Kindl took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKindlDzidaK − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.441.40.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 407 vs 102 / 19050.9%53.7%207 / 407 vs 102 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.83/Dzida 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl—8111111113L. Dzida—11913882
WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl—1111911113L. Dzida—13611592
LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl—812791L. Dzida—111011113
WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991
WSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl—11116113L. Dzida—681191
LAug 21 · 05:45T. Kindl—115116102L. Dzida—911411123
LAug 17 · 12:38T. Kindl—5580L. Dzida—1111113
WAug 17 · 09:40T. Kindl—114814113L. Dzida—411111252
T. Kindl10
WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191
L. Dzida10
LSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851
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