TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13105970
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118811119––
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 66.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 3–0 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kindl
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1591 vs Kus 1362
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 40% vs Kus 0%
Kindl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 70% vs Kus 40%
Kindl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl -1 · Kus -5
Kus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.50 / Kus 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kindl)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13105970
Kindl1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Kus2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 74 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKindl3wins
AwayKus0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKindl leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl1Kus2n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
S2Kindl2Kus1n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S3Kindl2Kus1n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S4Kindl3Kus0n = 3Kindl took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKindlKusKindl − KusBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.336.0+9.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlKusBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 406 vs 255 / 51250.7%49.8%206 / 406 vs 255 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.50/Kus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WFeb 4 · 10:45T. Kindl—11118113O. Kus—941191
WDec 8 · 21:10T. Kindl—991111113O. Kus—11119472
WDec 6 · 08:10T. Kindl—111111113O. Kus—137761
T. Kindl10
WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950WSep 7 · 09:40T. Kindl2.1012713113D. Jr1.6710111191
O. Kus10
LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113
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