TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106853
Played Sep 10Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111111181171113
Radovan Solle
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 89 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Radovan Solle at 56.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 1–2 Radovan Solle Ondrej Kus has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 24:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Solle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1362 vs Solle 1455
Solle
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 0% vs Solle 60%
Solle
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 40% vs Solle 70%
Solle
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -5 · Solle +2
Kus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Solle) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 2.20 / Solle 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Solle)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13106853
Kus2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 74 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Solle1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKus1wins
AwaySolle2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSolle leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus2Solle1n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
S2Kus2Solle1n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
S3Kus1Solle2n = 3Solle took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKusSolleK − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.339.3+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 513 vs 19 / 4349.7%44.2%255 / 513 vs 19 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolleKus 2.20/Solle 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Solle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 20:10O. Kus—1111123R. Solle—79100
LJul 25 · 16:40O. Kus—10117121R. Solle—12411143
LJul 25 · 15:10O. Kus—119111182R. Solle—911137113
O. Kus10
LSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113
R. Solle10
LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121
Upcoming Matches
O. Kus
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R. Solle
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