TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106833
Played Sep 10Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711115711118911
Ondrej Kus
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 76.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 6–3 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1521 vs Kus 1349
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 40% vs Kus 0%
Dzida
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 50% vs Kus 20%
Dzida
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -2 · Kus -5
Kus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.30 / Kus 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Dzida)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13106833
Dzida1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 41 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 26 of 41
Kus3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 74 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDzida6wins
AwayKus3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderDzida leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida80%4 of 5
AwayKus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida5Kus4n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S2Dzida5Kus4n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S3Dzida7Kus2n = 9Dzida took 7 of 9
S4Dzida2Kus3n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDzidaKusD − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.332.1+5.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaKusBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 191 vs 255 / 51453.4%49.6%102 / 191 vs 255 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.30/Kus 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 31 · 16:39L. Dzida—1113113O. Kus—31190
WJul 31 · 16:15L. Dzida—1111113O. Kus—3640
WJul 24 · 10:15L. Dzida—711911113O. Kus—11511942
WJul 2 · 10:10L. Dzida—1101111113O. Kus—11127852
WJun 10 · 10:15L. Dzida—1111143O. Kus—87120
LJun 4 · 09:45L. Dzida—891171O. Kus—11119113
LJun 3 · 14:40L. Dzida—118831O. Kus—61111113
WMay 26 · 16:34L. Dzida—1111113O. Kus—9570
LMay 26 · 14:10L. Dzida—8911131O. Kus—11114153
L. Dzida10
LSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190LSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851
O. Kus10
LSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133LSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113
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