TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119259
Played Sep 12Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141181181012119
Tomas Lysek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 106 set 5, 11-9
106 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 3–3 Tomas Lysek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Konvicka beat Lysek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Konvicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.67 / Lysek 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Konvicka)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13119259
Konvicka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 44 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Lysek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKonvicka3wins
AwayLysek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonvicka66.7%2 of 3
AwayLysek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konvicka3Lysek3n = 6split evenly
S2Konvicka2Lysek4n = 6Lysek took 4 of 6
S3Konvicka2Lysek4n = 6Lysek took 4 of 6
S4Konvicka1Lysek2n = 3Lysek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricKonvickaLysekK − LBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match33.233.5−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 260 vs 123 / 23251.9%53%135 / 260 vs 123 / 232Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.67/Lysek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 12 · 08:15V. Konvicka—1111113T. Lysek—9540
WJul 22 · 14:15V. Konvicka—111166113T. Lysek—67111172
LJun 28 · 07:45V. Konvicka—6290T. Lysek—1111113
WMay 8 · 09:40V. Konvicka—861111113T. Lysek—11114712
LFeb 15 · 16:10V. Konvicka—129961T. Lysek—10111193
LDec 14 · 07:40V. Konvicka—7950T. Lysek—1111113
V. Konvicka10
WSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 07:15V. Konvicka1.91121111992L. Kantor1.801013711113LSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 16:15V. Konvicka1.671081111123D. Osvald2.10121157102LSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980WSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151
T. Lysek10
LSep 12 · 08:15T. Lysek1.839540V. Konvicka1.831111113LSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123
Upcoming Matches
V. Konvicka
Nothing scheduled
T. Lysek
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