TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127068
Played Sep 14Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111012––––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 55 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 1–3 Radek Sedlacek Lukas Dzida has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1526 vs Sedlacek 1522
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 80% vs Sedlacek 20%
Dzida
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Sedlacek 30%
Dzida
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +2 · Sedlacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.83 / Sedlacek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dzida)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13127068
Dzida1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sedlacek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDzida1wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSedlacek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzidan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySedlacek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida1Sedlacek3n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
S2Dzida2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
S3Dzida2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricDzidaSedlacekD − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.234.5−4.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 199 vs 141 / 30853.8%45.8%107 / 199 vs 141 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.83/Sedlacek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida2156100R. Sedlacek341111123
WAug 24 · 16:48L. Dzida331111113R. Sedlacek237970
LAug 24 · 14:45L. Dzida42411116102R. Sedlacek47115811123
LAug 10 · 06:15L. Dzida2561090R. Sedlacek341112113
L. Dzida10
WSep 14 · 05:45D. Pawlik1.73811971L. Dzida2.0011511113WSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870WSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123LSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190LSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 14 · 07:45D. Pawlik1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.005770WSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851LSep 13 · 20:45M. Moravec1.831110145113R. Sedlacek1.83612121162LSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171WSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892
Upcoming Matches
L. Dzida
R. Sedlacek
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