TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126419
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11610121412511116
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 98 set 5, 11-6
98 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 9–4 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Moravec beat Sedlacek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.83 / Sedlacek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moravec)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13126419
Moravec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Sedlacek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec7wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec80%4 of 5
AwaySedlacek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Moravec6Sedlacek4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Moravec5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Moravec4Sedlacek3n = 7Moravec took 4 of 7
S5Moravec4Sedlacek1n = 5Moravec took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecSedlacekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.9+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 372 vs 139 / 30549.5%45.6%184 / 372 vs 139 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.83/Sedlacek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec521011119113R. Sedlacek4112581152
LAug 24 · 18:15M. Moravec32115881R. Sedlacek4181111113
WAug 24 · 15:45M. Moravec331111113R. Sedlacek126330
WAug 22 · 16:10M. Moravec50118911113R. Sedlacek4471111872
LAug 18 · 14:40M. Moravec2815850R. Sedlacek391711113
WJun 26 · 16:45M. Moravec361411113R. Sedlacek2012350
WJun 26 · 14:15M. Moravec5511101112113R. Sedlacek4871281472
WMay 6 · 10:10M. Moravec3851111113R. Sedlacek31117581
WApr 14 · 09:40M. Moravec50614811113R. Sedlacek49111211782
LMar 23 · 11:40M. Moravec4251191432R. Sedlacek541191112113
M. Moravec10
WSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171WSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691LSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181
Upcoming Matches
M. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
R. Sedlacek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.