TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127031
Played Sep 14Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911911––––
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 56 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 5–7 Lukas Dzida Laurent Lasota has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:46What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Dzida
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1539 vs Dzida 1541
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 60% vs Dzida 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +1 · Dzida -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 2.00 / Dzida 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dzida)+2.7pp
TT Cup · #13127031
Lasota2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 44 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Dzida1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 43 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it65% 26 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLasota3wins
AwayDzida7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasotan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota2Dzida8n = 10Dzida took 8 of 10
S2Lasota5Dzida5n = 10split evenly
S3Lasota3Dzida7n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S4Lasota3Dzida6n = 9Dzida took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLasotaDzidaL − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.141.2−5.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 289 vs 108 / 20049.8%54%144 / 289 vs 108 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaLasota 2.00/Dzida 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota235990L. Dzida331111113
LSep 6 · 16:44L. Lasota344119101L. Dzida4211811123
LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota38911991L. Dzida4011711113
LSep 4 · 07:15L. Lasota32128841L. Dzida43101111113
LJul 29 · 12:10L. Lasota351211391L. Dzida4214611113
LJul 21 · 15:45L. Lasota28761141L. Dzida4211119113
WJul 18 · 17:20L. Lasota505121111113L. Dzida4311148462
WJul 18 · 16:15L. Lasota4211137113L. Dzida355111181
LJul 5 · 09:45L. Lasota32511791L. Dzida4011711113
WJun 13 · 13:15L. Lasota47641114123L. Dzida521111812102
L. Lasota10
LSep 14 · 08:45L. Lasota1.839111181D. Pawlik1.8311133113WSep 14 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.8081181182L. Lasota1.91114119113LSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851WSep 10 · 17:10D. Branny1.61751191L. Lasota2.2011119113WSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193WSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 08:10D. Pawlik1.83111212113L. Lasota1.834101441WSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181
L. Dzida10
WSep 14 · 09:15R. Sedlacek1.61116391L. Dzida2.2071111113LSep 14 · 07:15L. Dzida1.8356100R. Sedlacek1.831111123WSep 14 · 05:45D. Pawlik1.73811971L. Dzida2.0011511113WSep 12 · 13:10T. Lysek1.8813911962L. Dzida1.821111711113LSep 12 · 11:45L. Dzida1.73115981T. Lysek2.0071111113WSep 12 · 10:45L. Dzida1.611111113J. Volny2.205870WSep 12 · 09:45L. Dzida1.44771111123V. Reska2.63111159102WSep 10 · 12:43O. Kus2.508148101L. Dzida1.50111211123LSep 10 · 12:10L. Dzida1.3071171192O. Kus3.40115118113LSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190
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