TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108658
Played Sep 10Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111510121210911
Jan Przybyla
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Laurent Lasota at 61.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 3–4 Jan Przybyla Laurent Lasota has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lasota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1549 vs Przybyla 1448
Lasota
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 60% vs Przybyla 0%
Lasota
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 60% vs Przybyla 20%
Lasota
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota -1 · Przybyla -5
Przybyla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Lasota) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.57 / Przybyla 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Lasota)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13108658
Lasota1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 54 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Przybyla2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 55 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLasota3wins
AwayPrzybyla4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderPrzybyla leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasotan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPrzybyla80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota2Przybyla5n = 7Przybyla took 5 of 7
S2Lasota3Przybyla4n = 7Przybyla took 4 of 7
S3Lasota4Przybyla3n = 7Lasota took 4 of 7
S4Lasota2Przybyla2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricLasotaPrzybylaL − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match37.137.9−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 283 vs 219 / 42449.8%51.7%141 / 283 vs 219 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaLasota 1.57/Przybyla 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota—11711113J. Przybyla—311691
WAug 26 · 05:45L. Lasota—511811123J. Przybyla—119114102
LJul 10 · 06:15L. Lasota—2790J. Przybyla—1111113
LJul 3 · 09:10L. Lasota—1091181J. Przybyla—12119113
WJul 3 · 08:10L. Lasota—1211133J. Przybyla—108110
LJul 1 · 08:15L. Lasota—11960J. Przybyla—1311113
LApr 24 · 07:45L. Lasota—916111092J. Przybyla—1114312113
L. Lasota10
WSep 10 · 15:40L. Lasota1.7391111113R. Solle2.00116851LSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193WSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 08:10D. Pawlik1.83111212113L. Lasota1.834101441WSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181WSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123WSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292LSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123
Upcoming Matches
L. Lasota
Nothing scheduled
J. Przybyla
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