TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108783
Played Sep 10Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116118115––
Radovan Solle
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Laurent Lasota at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lasota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1522 vs Solle 1473
Lasota
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 40% vs Solle 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 60% vs Solle 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota -2 · Solle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lasota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lasota form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.73 / Solle 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lasota)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13108783
Lasota1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 54 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Solle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back44% 4 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 284 vs 21 / 4849.7%43.8%141 / 284 vs 21 / 48Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaLasota 1.73/Solle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lasota won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Lasota10
LSep 10 · 14:40L. Lasota1.57711101292J. Przybyla2.251151210113LSep 10 · 13:40L. Lasota1.731194171D. Branny2.0071111193WSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 08:10D. Pawlik1.83111212113L. Lasota1.834101441WSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181WSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123WSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113
R. Solle10
LSep 10 · 15:10D. Branny1.83611117113R. Solle1.8311941182WSep 10 · 14:10R. Solle1.9112116113J. Przybyla1.801081181LSep 10 · 13:15T. Kindl1.44113119173R. Solle2.63411611152LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191
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