TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109881
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1143111169111715
Radovan Solle
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 17-15
Point 98 set 5, 17-15 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 65.3%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 1–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kindl beat Solle 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1616 vs Solle 1455
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 80% vs Solle 60%
Kindl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 70% vs Solle 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +3 · Solle -1
Kindl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kindl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solle form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.44 / Solle 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kindl)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13109881
Kindl1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 64 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 41 of 59
Solle2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 8 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back44% 4 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKindl1wins
AwaySolle0wins
Kindl leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKindlSolleK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.022.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 409 vs 20 / 4551.1%44.4%209 / 409 vs 20 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match41.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.44/Solle 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl—1311113R. Solle—11560
T. Kindl10
WSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 10:40T. Kindl1.831213113L. Dzida1.83101190WSep 10 · 09:40T. Kindl1.5011118113O. Kus2.50981191LSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113WSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113WSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950
R. Solle10
LSep 10 · 11:40T. Kindl1.731311113R. Solle2.0011560WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kus2.20511111112R. Solle1.61111187133WSep 10 · 10:10R. Solle1.73111111113L. Dzida2.00991391WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151
Upcoming Matches
T. Kindl
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R. Solle
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