TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108479
Played Sep 10Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1179114111719––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 17-19
Point 89 set 4, 17-19 — our read held Laurent Lasota at 57.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 6–5 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lasota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1562 vs Branny 1503
Lasota
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 80% vs Branny 40%
Lasota
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 60% vs Branny 40%
Lasota
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +1 · Branny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lasota) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lasota form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.73 / Branny 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Lasota)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13108479
Lasota1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 54 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Branny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 22 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLasota6wins
AwayBranny4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLasota leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasota83.3%5 of 6
AwayBranny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota6Branny4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S2Lasota5Branny5n = 10split evenly
S3Lasota6Branny4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S4Lasota2Branny1n = 3Lasota took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLasotaBrannyL − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.332.5+0.8per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 282 vs 169 / 32850%51.5%141 / 282 vs 169 / 328Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaLasota 1.73/Branny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota—10760D. Branny—1211113
WAug 21 · 05:40L. Lasota—81111113D. Branny—116881
LAug 17 · 13:15L. Lasota—11681372D. Branny—8111111113
WAug 17 · 09:45L. Lasota—1114183D. Branny—412160
WAug 14 · 08:15L. Lasota—119115113D. Branny—91191192
LJul 22 · 18:10L. Lasota—7550D. Branny—1111113
WJul 17 · 21:09L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—7650
WJul 17 · 19:40L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—9870
LJun 14 · 21:10L. Lasota—51030D. Branny—1112113
WJun 14 · 17:40L. Lasota—1111113D. Branny—4750
L. Lasota10
WSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 08:10D. Pawlik1.83111212113L. Lasota1.834101441WSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181WSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123WSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172
D. Branny10
LSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153LSep 7 · 20:10T. Molin1.571111113D. Branny2.253990WSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870LSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113
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