TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145229
Played Sep 17Finished
Karel Baros
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117711811––
Michal Moravec
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Moravec to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Baros above · Michal Moravec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Moravec at 63.3%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Baros 1519 vs Moravec 1596
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 60% vs Moravec 100%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 50% vs Moravec 90%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros +1 · Moravec +5
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 2.50 / Moravec 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Moravec)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13145229
Baros2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 18 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Moravec1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 32 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 269 vs 190 / 37854.7%50.3%147 / 269 vs 190 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecBaros 2.50/Moravec 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Moravec won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Baros10
WSep 17 · 16:10T. Molin2.38131191162K. Baros1.53156117113WSep 17 · 13:40A. Cizek1.675811121K. Baros2.1011116143LSep 11 · 17:10A. Drozd2.051113113K. Baros1.6891160LSep 11 · 15:40K. Baros1.7311178482J. Volny2.005151111113WSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852WSep 11 · 13:40K. Baros1.8011611113O. Skvor1.91711661LSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113LSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123
M. Moravec10
WSep 17 · 15:40A. Cizek2.505118111M. Moravec1.5011811133WSep 17 · 14:10M. Moravec1.501111113T. Molin2.507870WSep 16 · 13:10M. Moravec1.731112123D. Pawlik2.00710100WSep 16 · 12:10M. Moravec1.831111133L. Dzida1.8399110WSep 16 · 10:40D. Pawlik1.8314960M. Moravec1.831611113WSep 16 · 10:10T. Kindl1.57791191M. Moravec2.2511117113WSep 13 · 20:45M. Moravec1.831110145113R. Sedlacek1.83612121162WSep 13 · 20:10M. Moravec1.911011119113R. Sedlacek1.8012581152LSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113
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