TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113525
Played Sep 11Finished
Karel Baros
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117611116116––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:54 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Baros above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 60.0%
69 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Baros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Baros 1515 vs Skvor 1477
Baros
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baros 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baros 50% vs Skvor 70%
Skvor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Baros -2 · Skvor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Baros) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 1.80 / Skvor 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Baros)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13113525
Baros1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 62 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 43 of 53
Skvor1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 18 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 264 vs 71 / 13754.6%51.8%144 / 264 vs 71 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosBaros 1.80/Skvor 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Baros won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Baros10
WSep 11 · 14:40K. Baros1.675111111113A. Drozd2.1011713852LSep 8 · 17:00K. Baros1.909720D. Osvald1.801111113LSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 15:15D. Osvald1.577111051K. Baros2.2511512113LSep 8 · 14:15K. Baros1.8349100V. Konvicka1.831111123WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113
O. Skvor10
WSep 9 · 21:15O. Skvor1.70611117123I. Jemelka1.96115811102WSep 9 · 19:40V. Molin1.832650O. Skvor1.831111113LSep 9 · 19:10I. Jemelka2.2011126113O. Skvor1.615101151WSep 9 · 18:10O. Skvor1.6712114113J. Vanous2.101091191WSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 16:10O. Skvor1.5361011101T. Ogrocki2.3811125123WSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 14:10P. Jokiel2.208111111113O. Skvor1.6111571382WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123
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