TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103817
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210119411119––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:57 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 57.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 4–3 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:57What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1461 vs Vanous 1415
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 60% vs Vanous 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 70% vs Vanous 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor +1 · Vanous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.67 / Vanous 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skvor)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13103817
Skvor1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 40 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Vanous2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkvor4wins
AwayVanous3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSkvor leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVanous60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor2Vanous5n = 7Vanous took 5 of 7
S2Skvor3Vanous4n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S3Skvor5Vanous2n = 7Skvor took 5 of 7
S4Skvor2Vanous3n = 5Vanous took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkvorVanousS − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match40.037.7+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 133 vs 126 / 28651.1%44.1%68 / 133 vs 126 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.67/Vanous 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor—7690J. Vanous—1111113
WAug 30 · 19:15O. Skvor—691611113J. Vanous—111114672
WAug 7 · 21:20O. Skvor—1111113113J. Vanous—71361162
WAug 7 · 20:15O. Skvor—81112113J. Vanous—1171031
LMay 15 · 18:15O. Skvor—1811681J. Vanous—20511113
WApr 18 · 21:13O. Skvor—1111113J. Vanous—5570
LApr 18 · 18:09O. Skvor—9811121J. Vanous—11118143
O. Skvor10
WSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 16:10O. Skvor1.5361011101T. Ogrocki2.3811125123WSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 14:10P. Jokiel2.208111111113O. Skvor1.6111571382WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113
J. Vanous10
LSep 9 · 18:40V. Molin1.5311126113J. Vanous2.389101141LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113
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