TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103708
Played Sep 9Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111151171113118
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 59.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 9–6 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Jokiel
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1394 vs Skvor 1470
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 40% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 40% vs Skvor 60%
Skvor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -1 · Skvor +3
Skvor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 2.20 / Skvor 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skvor)+1.4pp
TT Cup · #13103708
Jokiel2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 79 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Skvor1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 40 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJokiel5wins
AwaySkvor5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel80%4 of 5
AwaySkvor80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel5Skvor5n = 10split evenly
S2Jokiel5Skvor5n = 10split evenly
S3Jokiel4Skvor6n = 10Skvor took 6 of 10
S4Jokiel3Skvor2n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJokielSkvorJ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.934.0+0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 417 vs 66 / 12947%51.2%196 / 417 vs 66 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorJokiel 2.20/Skvor 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.1%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel—8380O. Skvor—1111113
WSep 5 · 10:10P. Jokiel—111110113O. Skvor—661281
LAug 30 · 14:15P. Jokiel—1191071O. Skvor—91112113
LAug 15 · 10:15P. Jokiel—108111172O. Skvor—121123113
LAug 15 · 08:50P. Jokiel—82100O. Skvor—1111123
WAug 15 · 06:45P. Jokiel—814119113O. Skvor—111251192
WAug 7 · 15:15P. Jokiel—11117113O. Skvor—591191
WJul 25 · 16:15P. Jokiel—1115113O. Skvor—51340
WJul 18 · 10:40P. Jokiel—1111113O. Skvor—7690
LJul 11 · 21:15P. Jokiel—3980O. Skvor—1111113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482
O. Skvor10
WSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.