TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103308
Played Sep 9Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121151012––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 64.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 7–4 Tomas Ogrocki Tomas Ogrocki has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Skvor
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1466 vs Ogrocki 1338
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 80% vs Ogrocki 40%
Skvor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 70% vs Ogrocki 40%
Skvor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor +1 · Ogrocki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.53 / Ogrocki 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skvor)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13103308
Skvor1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 40 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Ogrocki2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back27% 22 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvor7wins
AwayOgrocki3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvor leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor60%3 of 5
AwayOgrocki20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor5Ogrocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvor4Ogrocki6n = 10Ogrocki took 6 of 10
S3Skvor7Ogrocki3n = 10Skvor took 7 of 10
S4Skvor5Ogrocki4n = 9Skvor took 5 of 9
S5Skvor3Ogrocki1n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvorOgrockiS − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.5+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 131 vs 211 / 45351.2%46.6%67 / 131 vs 211 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.53/Ogrocki 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.4%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ogrocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:10O. Skvor—111511123T. Ogrocki—13135101
WAug 30 · 15:15O. Skvor—114311113T. Ogrocki—51111982
WAug 15 · 13:20O. Skvor—313119113T. Ogrocki—111161192
WAug 15 · 10:45O. Skvor—11911113T. Ogrocki—711971
LAug 7 · 16:45O. Skvor—111011652T. Ogrocki—612911113
WAug 7 · 16:15O. Skvor—14911113T. Ogrocki—1211491
WJul 25 · 18:45O. Skvor—91111113T. Ogrocki—113881
LMay 15 · 17:20O. Skvor—6590T. Ogrocki—1111113
LMay 15 · 14:15O. Skvor—1157101T. Ogrocki—91111123
WMay 3 · 08:45O. Skvor—711117113T. Ogrocki—11651142
O. Skvor10
WSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070WSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 14:10P. Jokiel2.208111111113O. Skvor1.6111571382WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123
T. Ogrocki10
WSep 9 · 15:10T. Ogrocki1.6711116113P. Jokiel2.10791191WSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123LSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 12:10J. Patrik1.73111111113T. Ogrocki2.00135891LSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242WSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561WSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871
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