TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13102864
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111811712141012
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 54.5%
103 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 4–4 Tomas Ogrocki Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Przeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1409 vs Ogrocki 1310
Przeczek
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 80% vs Ogrocki 0%
Przeczek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 70% vs Ogrocki 30%
Przeczek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek +3 · Ogrocki -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Przeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogrocki form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.61 / Ogrocki 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Przeczek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13102864
Przeczek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 27 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Ogrocki2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 57 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back27% 22 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePrzeczek4wins
AwayOgrocki4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek40%2 of 5
AwayOgrocki33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek5Ogrocki3n = 8Przeczek took 5 of 8
S2Przeczek5Ogrocki3n = 8Przeczek took 5 of 8
S3Przeczek4Ogrocki4n = 8split evenly
S4Przeczek5Ogrocki1n = 6Przeczek took 5 of 6
S5Przeczek0Ogrocki3n = 3Ogrocki took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPrzeczekOgrockiP − OBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.238.0+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 162 vs 209 / 45146.3%46.3%75 / 162 vs 209 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.61/Ogrocki 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ogrocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 21 · 19:15K. Przeczek—2119101T. Ogrocki—11711123
WAug 18 · 20:40K. Przeczek—91111123T. Ogrocki—1174101
LAug 18 · 19:10K. Przeczek—11851122T. Ogrocki—511119113
LJul 24 · 19:45K. Przeczek—15891192T. Ogrocki—1311117113
WJul 20 · 20:15K. Przeczek—1113113T. Ogrocki—91160
WJun 1 · 16:15K. Przeczek—81111133T. Ogrocki—1146111
LMay 20 · 14:15K. Przeczek—117711112T. Ogrocki—911117133
WFeb 4 · 19:45K. Przeczek—1111113T. Ogrocki—8680
K. Przeczek10
LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113
T. Ogrocki10
WSep 9 · 17:15T. Ogrocki1.6712128113P. Jokiel2.1010101151WSep 9 · 16:10O. Skvor1.5361011101T. Ogrocki2.3811125123WSep 9 · 15:10T. Ogrocki1.6711116113P. Jokiel2.10791191LSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 12:10J. Patrik1.73111111113T. Ogrocki2.00135891LSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242WSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561
Upcoming Matches
K. Przeczek
Nothing scheduled
T. Ogrocki
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