TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13103761
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119411311411––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 63.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 4–2 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Przeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Przeczek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1387 vs Jokiel 1392
Jokiel
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 60% vs Jokiel 40%
Przeczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 60% vs Jokiel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek -2 · Jokiel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Przeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.57 / Jokiel 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Przeczek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13103761
Przeczek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 27 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 18 of 28
Jokiel2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 79 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrzeczek4wins
AwayJokiel2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek100%3 of 3
AwayJokiel66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek3Jokiel3n = 6split evenly
S2Przeczek4Jokiel2n = 6Przeczek took 4 of 6
S3Przeczek6Jokiel0n = 6Przeczek took 6 of 6
S4Przeczek2Jokiel3n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
S5Przeczek1Jokiel2n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrzeczekJokielP − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match43.238.0+5.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 164 vs 197 / 41945.7%47%75 / 164 vs 197 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.57/Jokiel 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek—111111113P. Jokiel—713691
WSep 4 · 18:40K. Przeczek—1111113P. Jokiel—7690
WJul 21 · 16:15K. Przeczek—11711113P. Jokiel—711771
WJul 3 · 14:45K. Przeczek—911116113P. Jokiel—11341172
LJun 18 · 14:15K. Przeczek—6111110102P. Jokiel—119712123
LMay 22 · 17:45K. Przeczek—51112992P. Jokiel—1191011113
K. Przeczek10
LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113LSep 9 · 13:40K. Przeczek1.619111112102T. Ogrocki2.20118714123WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 9 · 15:10T. Ogrocki1.6711116113P. Jokiel2.10791191WSep 9 · 14:10P. Jokiel2.208111111113O. Skvor1.6111571382LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171
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