TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141259
Played Sep 17Finished
Kacper Kwiatkowski
Home
2.01
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911811511––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
117911811511––
H2H Kacper Kwiatkowski 4–9 Jacek Zelezik Kacper Kwiatkowski has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwiatkowski 1470 vs Zelezik 1474
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwiatkowski 0% vs Zelezik 80%
Zelezik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwiatkowski 20% vs Zelezik 70%
Zelezik
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwiatkowski -5 · Zelezik +1
Kwiatkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwiatkowski 2.01 / Zelezik 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zelezik)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13141259
Kwiatkowski2.01
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 66 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Zelezik1.66
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 184 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 142 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKwiatkowski2wins
AwayZelezik8wins
Zelezik leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwiatkowski33.3%2 of 6
AwayZelezik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwiatkowski6Zelezik4n = 10Kwiatkowski took 6 of 10
S2Kwiatkowski4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S3Kwiatkowski2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S4Kwiatkowski0Zelezik6n = 6Zelezik took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKwiatkowskiZelezikK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.8−4.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwiatkowskiZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 254 vs 379 / 69943.7%54.2%111 / 254 vs 379 / 699Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikKwiatkowski 2.01/Zelezik 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski331111113J. Zelezik259970
LAug 25 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski28113771J. Zelezik4291111113
LAug 19 · 22:35K. Kwiatkowski305113111J. Zelezik3811311133
WAug 19 · 15:00K. Kwiatkowski331111113J. Zelezik142840
LAug 18 · 23:30K. Kwiatkowski401188131J. Zelezik4471111153
LAug 18 · 19:10K. Kwiatkowski33116791J. Zelezik3961111113
LJul 30 · 21:00K. Kwiatkowski2371060J. Zelezik341112113
LJul 30 · 16:35K. Kwiatkowski4813161091J. Zelezik52111812113
LJul 26 · 23:20K. Kwiatkowski302114131J. Zelezik4611911153
LJul 26 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski2310670J. Zelezik341211113
K. Kwiatkowski10
LSep 17 · 18:45J. Michalik2.171161117113K. Kwiatkowski1.5681171952LSep 17 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski1.37311141132A. Staniczek2.89116167113LSep 17 · 02:10K. Kwiatkowski1.916119121A. Fomin1.8011711143LSep 17 · 24:35J. Skorupa2.0011145113K. Kwiatkowski1.734121181LSep 16 · 23:45M. Machelski2.25611119113K. Kwiatkowski1.5711961152LSep 16 · 22:55K. Kwiatkowski1.36128111182M. Baran3.001011136113LSep 16 · 21:45K. Kwiatkowski1.57351111122M. Lewczuk2.25111198143WSep 16 · 20:05K. Kwiatkowski1.83117126143A. Fomin1.836111011122WSep 16 · 18:30A. Skupinski3.2511114492K. Kwiatkowski1.33841111113LSep 16 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10911511113K. Kwiatkowski1.6711811312
J. Zelezik10
WSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123LSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113WSep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik1.83131116153G. Mucha1.8315714131WSep 14 · 23:50K. Gudzik2.6311013642J. Zelezik1.445111111113WSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.91113110J. Zelezik1.801311133LSep 14 · 20:30K. Gudzik2.75411911113J. Zelezik1.4011711732LSep 14 · 19:20J. Zelezik1.9131181172G. Mucha1.80119118113WSep 14 · 18:10M. Karpiuk2.6371211582J. Zelezik1.441110711113
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 17 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.75A. Krezel1.90—Sep 17 · 22:20K. Kwiatkowski3.10D. Molenda1.30—Sep 17 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.34A. Staniczek2.85—Sep 18 · 24:45K. Kwiatkowski2.23H. Tkaczyk1.54—Sep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01J. Zelezik1.66—Sep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.53A. Krezel2.24—Sep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.53J. Michalik2.10—
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