TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140110
Played Sep 17Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1199111171513––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
1199111171513––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 2–18 Jacek Zelezik Jerzy Michalik has won 2 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zelezik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-18 in 20
Zelezik
Wrong
gap of 16 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1370 vs Zelezik 1472
Zelezik
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 20% vs Zelezik 100%
Zelezik
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 60% vs Zelezik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -3 · Zelezik +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.00 / Zelezik 1.73
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zelezik)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13140110
Michalik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 105
Zelezik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 184 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 142 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik1wins
AwayZelezik9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik16.7%1 of 6
AwayZelezik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Zelezik4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S3Michalik2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S4Michalik0Zelezik7n = 7Zelezik took 7 of 7
S5Michalik1Zelezik2n = 3Zelezik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikZelezikM − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.942.0−9.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 1167 vs 378 / 69747.1%54.2%550 / 1167 vs 378 / 697Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikMichalik 2.00/Zelezik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik4611712972J. Zelezik485111011113
LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik441778121J. Zelezik51151111143
LAug 26 · 24:45J. Michalik3211122432J. Zelezik485101111113
LAug 4 · 02:00J. Michalik36117991J. Zelezik4181111113
LJul 31 · 02:35J. Michalik173770J. Zelezik331111113
WJul 30 · 18:10J. Michalik43114115123J. Zelezik45811511102
LJul 7 · 23:30J. Michalik158520J. Zelezik331111113
LJul 3 · 02:45J. Michalik391111981J. Zelezik4413911113
LJul 2 · 23:05J. Michalik2596100J. Zelezik341111123
LMay 22 · 21:35J. Michalik32128481J. Zelezik43101111113
J. Michalik10
WSep 17 · 18:45J. Michalik2.171161117113K. Kwiatkowski1.5681171952LSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik1.76611851M. Brunner1.9611311113LSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 01:55J. Michalik1.92081141M. Baran1.7211118113WSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:55J. Michalik1.621147111M. Karpiuk2.0791111133WSep 15 · 22:20J. Michalik1.851111143P. Gesiarz1.8599120WSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181WSep 15 · 19:55J. Michalik1.9211611113M. Baran1.72611641WSep 15 · 18:45M. Brunner2.0513101481J. Michalik1.66151212113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113WSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113WSep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik1.83131116153G. Mucha1.8315714131WSep 14 · 23:50K. Gudzik2.6311013642J. Zelezik1.445111111113WSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.91113110J. Zelezik1.801311133LSep 14 · 20:30K. Gudzik2.75411911113J. Zelezik1.4011711732LSep 14 · 19:20J. Zelezik1.9131181172G. Mucha1.80119118113WSep 14 · 18:10M. Karpiuk2.6371211582J. Zelezik1.441110711113
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
Sep 17 · 20:20J. Michalik1.91A. Krezel1.80—Sep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.35D. Molenda1.15—Sep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.50A. Staniczek2.31—Sep 18 · 24:20J. Michalik1.70A. Krezel1.95—Sep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44J. Zelezik1.45—Sep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.50A. Staniczek2.31—Sep 18 · 03:30J. Michalik2.70H. Tkaczyk1.38—Sep 18 · 04:20J. Michalik2.10K. Kwiatkowski1.53—
J. Zelezik
Sep 17 · 21:55J. Zelezik1.26A. Staniczek3.30—Sep 17 · 22:40J. Zelezik1.41A. Krezel2.60—Sep 17 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.99H. Tkaczyk1.67—Sep 18 · 01:10J. Zelezik1.45J. Michalik2.44—Sep 18 · 01:55J. Zelezik1.66K. Kwiatkowski2.01—Sep 18 · 03:55J. Zelezik1.21A. Staniczek3.30—Sep 18 · 04:40J. Zelezik1.34A. Krezel2.60—
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