TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147406
Starts Sep 18, 01:10Scheduled
Jerzy Michalik
Home
2.44
At publish
Lost last 15–5Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
2 – 18
All 20 meetings · 10.0%
Last 10 · 1–9Same side
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 27–3Last 10Won last 2
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Michalik beat Zelezik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.44 / Zelezik 1.45
TT Elite Series · #13147406
Michalik2.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 105
Zelezik1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 184 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 142 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik1wins
AwayZelezik9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik16.7%1 of 6
AwayZelezik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Zelezik4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S3Michalik2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S4Michalik0Zelezik7n = 7Zelezik took 7 of 7
S5Michalik1Zelezik2n = 3Zelezik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikZelezikM − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.942.0−9.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1170 vs 380 / 70047.2%54.3%552 / 1170 vs 380 / 700Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik4611712972J. Zelezik485111011113
LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik441778121J. Zelezik51151111143
LAug 26 · 24:45J. Michalik3211122432J. Zelezik485101111113
LAug 4 · 02:00J. Michalik36117991J. Zelezik4181111113
LJul 31 · 02:35J. Michalik173770J. Zelezik331111113
WJul 30 · 18:10J. Michalik43114115123J. Zelezik45811511102
LJul 7 · 23:30J. Michalik158520J. Zelezik331111113
LJul 3 · 02:45J. Michalik391111981J. Zelezik4413911113
LJul 2 · 23:05J. Michalik2596100J. Zelezik341111123
LMay 22 · 21:35J. Michalik32128481J. Zelezik43101111113
J. Michalik10
LSep 17 · 20:20J. Michalik1.91813100A. Krezel1.801115123WSep 17 · 18:45J. Michalik2.171161117113K. Kwiatkowski1.5681171952WSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131LSep 16 · 04:20J. Michalik1.76611851M. Brunner1.9611311113LSep 16 · 03:05J. Michalik1.861181451J. Skorupa1.7891116113LSep 16 · 01:55J. Michalik1.92081141M. Baran1.7211118113WSep 16 · 24:45K. Rybak3.951111681J. Michalik1.2013611113LSep 15 · 23:55J. Michalik1.621147111M. Karpiuk2.0791111133WSep 15 · 22:20J. Michalik1.851111143P. Gesiarz1.8599120WSep 15 · 21:05J. Michalik1.8611113113J. Skorupa1.80971181
J. Zelezik10
WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113WSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123LSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113WSep 15 · 24:50J. Zelezik1.83131116153G. Mucha1.8315714131WSep 14 · 23:50K. Gudzik2.6311013642J. Zelezik1.445111111113WSep 14 · 22:50Z. Nocun2.00611791J. Zelezik1.7311711113WSep 14 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.91113110J. Zelezik1.801311133LSep 14 · 20:30K. Gudzik2.75411911113J. Zelezik1.4011711732LSep 14 · 19:20J. Zelezik1.9131181172G. Mucha1.80119118113
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